Improve Interval Optimization of FLR using Auto-speed Acceleration Algorithm

Yusuf Priyo Anggodo, Imam Cholissodin

Abstract


Inflation is a benchmark of a country's economic development. Inflation is very influential on various things, so forecasting inflation to know on upcoming inflation will impact positively. There are various methods used to perform forecasting, one of which is the fuzzy time series forecasting with maximum results. Fuzzy logical relationships (FLR) model is a very good in doing forecasting. However, there are some parameters that the value needs to be optimised. Interval is a parameter which is highly influence toward forecasting result. The utilizing optimisation with hybrid automatic clustering and particle swarm optimisation (ACPSO). Automatic clustering can do interval formation with just the right amount. While the PSO can optimise the value of each interval and it is providing maximum results. This study proposes the improvement in find the solution using auto-speed acceleration algorithm. Auto-speed acceleration algorithm can find a global solution which is hard to reach by the PSO and time of computation is faster. The results of the acquired solutions can provide the right interval so that the value of the FLR can perform forecasting with maximum results.

Keywords


Inflation; forecasting; fuzzy logical relationship; interval optimization; auto-speed acceleration algorithm



DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.12928/telkomnika.v16i1.6668

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