Neurocomputing fundamental climate analysis

Rezzy Eko Caraka, Sakhinah Abu Bakar, Muhammad Tahmid, Hasbi Yasin, Isma Dwi Kurniawan

Abstract


Rainfall is a natural phenomenon that needs to be studied more deeply and interesting to be analyzed. It involves numbers of human activities such as aviation, agriculture, fisheries, and also disaster risk reduction. Moreover, the characteristics of rainfall data follows seasonality, fluctuation, not normally distributed and it makes traditional time series challenging to use. Therefore, neurocomputing model can be used as an alternative to extraction information from rainfall data and give high performance also accuracy. In this paper, we give short preview about SST Anomalies in Manado, Northern Sulawesi and at the same time comparing the performance of rainfall forecasting by using three types of neurocomputing methods such as Generalized Regression Neural Network (GRNN), Feed forward Neural Network (FFNN), and Localized Multi Kernel Support Vector Regression (LMKSVR). In a nutshell, all of neurocomputing methods give highly accurate forecasting as well as reach low MAPE FFNN 1.65%, GRNN 2.65% and LMKSVR 0.28%, respectively.

Keywords


GRNN; LMKL SVR; rainfall; soft computing;

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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.12928/telkomnika.v17i4.11788

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TELKOMNIKA Telecommunication, Computing, Electronics and Control
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